RBA in ‘wait and see’ mode

Domestic political uncertainty and global volatility have been cited as the main reasons the Reserve Bank chose to leave the official cash rate unchanged at 1.75%.

“England’s decision to leave the European Union, combined with ongoing uncertainty around Australia’s next government provided the board with the incentive they needed to leave the cash rate untouched,” Mortgage Choice CEO John Flavell said.

“I believe the board will wait to see what impact these recent events have on consumer sentiment and the broader Australian economy before making any changes to the official cash rate.”

Mr Flavell said future rate cuts could not be ruled out.

“Depending on what the end result of the federal election is and what impact it has on consumer confidence, as well as other key economic metrics, we may see the RBA cut the cash rate at least once more this calendar year,” he said.

CoreLogic head of research, Tim Lawless echoed this sentiment, flagging the possibility the cash rate could be moved lower next month if inflation figures did not meet the RBA’s target range.

“The changes of interest rates moving lower in August remain high,” Mr Lawless said.

“It is likely that the inflation figures will come in well below the RBA target range of 2-3%. If that is the case, there is a high likelihood that interest rates will move lower next month.”

 

Source: Emma Ryan – TheAdviser

Getting your personal finances under control

Australians are typically very good at spending money, but there comes a time when many of us need to look at getting our finances under control.

This may be due to starting a family, getting a mortgage, educating children, losing a job, or a reduction in income. For some, the need to gain control of personal finances comes with the realisation that their debt has spiralled out of control, and cannot be paid off effectively.

According to American author George S. Clason in his famous book The Richest Man in Babylon there are seven ways to take control of your financial future:

PAY YOURSELF FIRST – Ideally, you should aim to save 10 per cent of everything you earn for long-term savings in case there is a period you are no longer able to work.

This money is not being saved to buy a new car, have a holiday, or even buy a house.

For some, making additional contributions to superannuation may be an ideal way of saving that extra 10 per cent. If you can’t afford to save that much, then save a smaller part of your income and gradually increase it over time. Ideally you should aim to live off 90 per cent, or less, of your income.

MANAGE EXPENSES – We all have regular expenses that need to be met in order to live including food, housing, clothing, and transport. But, many of us spend unnecessarily and it often consumes most, if not all, of our surplus income.

Start by setting a budget of your known fixed costs. Look back over past bills and identify your regular expenses. Bills often arrive at irregular intervals.

For example, a phone bill might arrive once each month (or once each quarter) but you might be paid weekly or fortnightly. Expenses should be calculated over a full year, and then divided by the number of pay days, in order to work out how much needs to be set aside out of each pay to cover bills as they arise.

GROW YOUR WEALTH – Now that you have started saving part of what you earn, you should look to having it grow in value. The investment earnings achieved should be added to your growing pool of savings.

PROTECT YOUR CAPITAL – In order to protect your savings from loss, care must be exercised to ensure the security of the principal. Before investing, understand the associated risks and, if the risk is unacceptable, look for a more suitable alternative.

Take advice from a qualified financial adviser. There are many good investment savings plans that allow small amounts to be saved on a regular basis while providing access to a wide range of investment options including fixed income, shares, property and overseas investments.

INVEST IN YOUR HOME – Eventual home ownership is the desire of many Australians, and owning your own home provides security for you and your family. Home ownership also delivers favourable tax concessions. This means that any gain achieved on the sale of your home is, generally, exempt from tax.

It therefore makes sense to maintain and improve your home, within reason and without over capitalising, to ensure you maximise the price you want to achieve when you come to sell.

PROTECT YOURSELF – We all understand how important it is to insure our possessions, but how many of us have adequate insurance on our life and our ability to earn? You should seek the advice of a qualified financial adviser to ensure that you are adequately insured against events that might rob you of your life, or your ability to earn. Yes, you can insure your future income.

INVEST IN YOURSELF – One way of building wealth is to increase your capacity to earn. To achieve this you need to be willing, irrespective of age, to increase your knowledge and skills through continuing education and training. Many people expect their employer to provide additional training. However you should take personal responsibility for increasing your knowledge and experience by investing time and money in suitable training that enhances your opportunity to increase your earnings over time.

Taking control of your financial future takes time and discipline. It will involve making some hard decisions, but if you make a plan and stick to it, over time it will become a habit and will deliver financial security and prosperity.

 

Source: Peter Kelly – Technical Advice

Centrepoint Alliance

This editorial is of a general nature only and neither represents nor is intended to be specific advice on any particular matter. Centrepoint Alliance strongly suggests that no person should act specifically on the basis of the information contained herein but should obtain appropriate professional advice based on their own circumstances.

Total returns show why housing investment remains so popular

Despite the recent slowdown, housing finance data highlights that investor activity in the housing market is starting to rise again and when you look at total returns from housing it’s no surprise.

The CoreLogic RP Data Accumulation Index has been published since June 2009 and highlights the total returns from residential property.  The total returns include both the increase in values as well as gross rental returns.

The first chart below shows the annual change in the total returns (accumulation) index over time.  While combined capital city home values recorded longer and deeper falls during 2011-2012, total returns were negative for only a short period of time thanks to the uplift from rental yields.  More recently you can see that the annual change in total returns across the combined capital cities has remained quite strong.

Combined capital city annual changes in total returns for houses and units

Housing 1

In the below chart it shows over the 12 months to May 2016, combined capital city home values have increased by 10.0% while total returns have been recorded at a higher 13.9%.  Looking at the individual capital cities, all cities except for Perth have recorded positive total returns over the past year.  Sydney and Melbourne which have been the most active investment markets have seen the highest total returns at 16.9% and 17.5% respectively over the past twelve months.  It should be noted that gross rental returns in both of these cities are now at record lows highlighting that the majority of these returns have come via an increase in home values.

Annual change in capital city total returns, 12 months to May 2016

Housing 2

The third chart below highlights the total returns over the past five years across all capital cities.  Again, Sydney in particular, has seen far superior total returns compared to all other capital cities.  Melbourne has also experienced relatively strong total returns over the past five years.  Again this highlights why these two cities in particular have remained so popular with investors.  In all other capital cities returns from residential property have been positive.  In many of these cities the total returns have been driven more so by the rental returns rather than the capital growth which has been the key driver in Sydney and Melbourne.

5 year total change in total returns, to May 2016

Housing 3

Despite the recent rebound in value growth, the mature capital growth cycle and record low rental returns in Sydney and Melbourne, total returns are unlikely to be as strong in these cities over the coming years.  A more balanced investment approach which focuses on moderate capital growth and relatively strong rental returns is likely to be a superior housing investment profile over the coming years.  This data also highlights why housing investment has been so popular.  In a low interest rate and subsequently low return environment housing has, over recent years, offered attractive returns.  Whether this continues to be the case remains to be seen.

 

Source:  Cameron Kusher – CoreLogic RP Data

AFD Financial Solutions can help you with all your home loan needs for either owner occupied or investment property. Give us a call today on (08) 8132 2655.

Keeping up with Ageing

Thanks in part to the Baby Boomer generation and their fixation on living longer and maintaining their health, we can all anticipate longer lifespans.

The German demographer James Vaupel estimates that the average girl born now in Western societies will live to 100. Many of today’s boys, he says, will also make it to a century.

Our lives have been improved by technology, advances in health and the many measures at our disposal to prolong our productive years.

But quality of life is the real issue and the pressures of providing for everyone, with the cost of healthcare, aged care and nursing homes, senility and other diseases and their impact on families – have made ageing a key social issue.

100 years ago, men could expect to live to about 55, and women 58. Today, the Australian Bureau of Statistics estimates, men can hope to hit 79 and women, about 83. The ABS estimates that there are currently almost three million Australians aged 65 and over, and close to 4 million baby boomers will join them in the next 15 years.

This is all great news for our nearest and dearest, but who will fund the retirement, healthcare, facilities and infrastructure required for this new era of the aged?

In 2006, there were 14 million Australians aged 15 to 64, typically referred to as ‘of working age’, and 2.7 million over 65. The ratio of workers to retirees was roughly five to one. By 2056, on conservative assumptions, the bureau projects that those of working age will grow by half, to 21.5 million, but the number of us 65 and over will treble to 8.1 million. The ratio of workers to retirees would then be about three to one.

How can the kids and teens of today be expected to finance so many retirees? Especially when those aged 85 and over, with the most chronic needs for care, are projected to increase from 322,000 to 1.72 million?

Treasury and the Reserve Bank warn we are facing a shortage of workers. Yet as the first baby boomers turn 65, that is still our pension age for men, the same as 100 years ago. Women can take the pension at 64. We can take our super payouts tax-free at 60, or with low taxes at 55.

Confronting ageism in the workplace, encouraging seniors to contribute later in life, rolling back the age at which people can take their super, and investing in aged care as well as in research into the causes of disease and disability in older age are some measure we can take to tackle the challenges ahead.

But of paramount importance is preparation. Each and every one of us should be mindful that we stand a chance of living much longer lives than our parents, and we need to ensure our lifestyles, ambitions, plans and dreams correspond with our financial means.

It’s never too early, or too late, to put the structures in place that will enable you and your family to enjoy the benefits of long, happy, healthy lives.

 

Source: Australian Bureau Statistics

ARE YOU THE MEAT IN THE SANDWICH?

Do you find yourself being spread thinly worrying about supporting ageing parents while trying to help your own children financially? With proper planning, you can support those you care for and still live the life you want.

Looking up the family tree

People are living longer. In 1901, only 4% of Australians were aged 65 years or older. By 2010, this figure had risen to 13.5%, and is estimated to increase to up to 23% by 2041.*

As your parents’ age you may be called on to care for them in ways you may not be emotionally and financially prepared for. Here are a few strategies that can help you plan;

  • Legal measures such as enduring power of attorney give you the power to make financial decisions on behalf of your parents. If they lose capacity, it makes it much easier for you to make decisions that protect them and their assets.
  • Expert investment planning can help your parents purchase aged care or nursing home accommodation and services if the need arises.
  • Appointing a professional trustee to manage day-to-day financial affairs so your parents can ensure their assets are expertly managed, allowing you to spend time with your parents rather than their accountants.

Looking down the family tree

This means looking out for your children, no matter how old they are. Good financial pre-planning for your children can cover a range of issues such as:

  • Helping them buy their own home, without affecting your own future lifestyle. Tax, superannuation, insurance and estate planning approaches can make this possible.
  • Ensuring your children or grandchildren are carefully considered in situations such as divorce or blended families.
  • Protecting vulnerable children. Some children need extra care, and money alone isn’t enough.

Plan for your peace of mind

The reality is that someone you care about is likely to need your financial assistance at some point – it may be your parents, your partner, children or grandchildren. That’s why it’s so important to look up and down the family tree when reviewing or planning your financial future. And that includes looking after yourself with the right medical and life insurance cover.

A plan will help you secure your financial future in a tax effective way, underpinned by thoughtful consideration rather than being created under the emotional weight of an emergency.

 

* Australian Bureau of Statistics

Source: Perpetual Trustees